Player projection

LAL

Luka Dončić

at PHX · Nov 15

Derived · Conditional on playing. Injury snapshot Nov 12, 4:26 PM EST.

No current injury report covers this game. Injury adjustments are not applied; availability is unconfirmed.

Game log

2026-27

Next-game projection, recent averages and current-season box scores for Luka Dončić.
Game	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	TOV	FGA	3PA	FTA	STL	BLK
Nov 15 at PHXProjected	35.4	36.6	7.7	7.7	4.9	4.5	23.8	12.8	10.4	–	–
Recent avg10 games	36.6	39.7	7.5	7.7	5.5	4.9	25.0	13.5	11.0	1.9	0.8
	32	32	5	5	5	5	25	12	10	2	0
	39	32	8	10	3	6	22	11	7	5	2
	38	53	5	5	5	3	33	15	18	1	0
	35	40	9	7	6	6	23	13	13	1	1
	36	42	7	13	6	2	24	15	10	2	0
	35	45	15	6	8	7	23	12	13	5	1
	37	37	7	5	6	3	27	16	8	1	2
	37	41	5	9	6	2	22	15	13	0	1
	38	52	8	10	8	4	30	18	11	2	0
	37	23	6	7	2	11	21	8	7	0	1

Observed · 10 games, Oct 23–Nov 11.

Steals and blocks are shown for completed games only; the model does not project them.

80% model ranges for the projected line

MIN: 27.9–42.5
PTS: 29.4–44.6
REB: 4.7–10.8
AST: 5.7–10.1
3PM: 3.5–6.6
TOV: 3.2–6.1
FGA: 19.5–28.5
3PA: 10.3–15.6
FTA: 8.1–13.5

Factors

Expected minutes

35.4 min34.8 before adjustments

Minutes and absences

His minutes: 34.8
Recent role: +0.6

Minutes scenarios

Lower minutes: 27.9 min
Projected minutes: 35.4 min
Higher minutes: 42.5 min

What-if minutes from the existing model range, holding per-minute production fixed.

Opponent defense

Phoenix Suns · vs forwards

Change to the projection from 2026-27 opponent allowance.

Opponent inputs through 2026-11-11.

Points+0.1

Raises estimate

Rebounds+0.2

Raises estimate

Assists+0.1

Raises estimate

Threes–

Not used

How each projected stat is built

Points 36.6

His average: 36.8
PHX allows more to forwards: +0.1
Pace: −0.2

Rebounds 7.7

His average: 7.5
PHX allows more to forwards: +0.2

Assists 7.7

His average: 7.7
PHX allows more to forwards: +0.1
Pace: −0.1

Threes 4.9

His average: 4.9

Field-goal attempts 23.8

His average: 23.8
PHX allows less to forwards: −0.0

Three-point attempts 12.8

His average: 12.9
PHX allows less to forwards: −0.0

Free-throw attempts 10.4

His average: 10.4
PHX allows more to forwards: +0.1
Pace: −0.0

Turnovers 4.5

His average: 4.5
PHX allows more to forwards: +0.0

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