CelticsatNuggets
9:00 PM ET- Celtics
- 112.0
- Nuggets
- 109.5
- Total points
- 221.6
Opening market total unavailable.
Derived · Updated Nov 12, 2026, 11:24 AM ET. Results through 2026-11-11.
Totals do not adjust for live injuries. Score ranges have not been calibrated.
How this score is estimated
The existing team model sets the margin and win chance. Opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace from play-by-play set the total. Each score is half the total, plus or minus half the margin.
- Expected possessions per team
- 96.4
- Celtics recent games accepted
- 20 / 20
- Nuggets recent games accepted
- 19 / 20
Each team needs at least 19 of its last 20 games accepted, including its latest game. Displayed scores are rounded separately.
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Game factors and ratings
Typical game swing ±15
- Celtics rating edge
- +4.1
- Nuggets home court
- −1.6
Pre-game ratings
How the ratings got here
Loaded rating history · Nov 11, 2026
Celtics
| Last season | +9.4 | |
| Carried forward | +6.1 | |
| vs MIL | −0.3 | +5.4 |
| vs CHA | +1.4 | +6.8 |
| vs MIL | +0.3 | +7.1 |
| vs PHI | +0.7 | +7.8 |
| Now | +7.8 | |
Nuggets
| Last season | +6.9 | |
| Carried forward | +4.5 | |
| vs POR | −0.4 | +3.1 |
| vs TOR | +0.7 | +3.8 |
| vs IND | +0.2 | +4.0 |
| vs HOU | −0.3 | +3.8 |
| Now | +3.8 | |
Availability & coverage
Availability
Availability has not loaded.
Includes back-to-backs. Corrects for listed-out stars only; other absences, trades and late scratches aren't counted.
Derived · Projected before each game from team ratings (10 seasons of results), home court and rest. Record this season: 108-51, misses included.