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Matchup Sheet

Celtics at Warriors

2026-11-22

Game details

Celtics at Warriors · 2026-11-22 · 8:30 PM ET

Celtics by 358% win chance
Estimated score Experimental
Celtics
112.2
Warriors
109.4
Total points
221.6

Opening market total unavailable.

Derived · Updated Nov 12, 2026, 11:24 AM ET. Results through 2026-11-11.

Totals do not adjust for live injuries. Score ranges have not been calibrated.

How this score is estimated

The existing team model sets the margin and win chance. Opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace from play-by-play set the total. Each score is half the total, plus or minus half the margin.

Expected possessions per team
97.0
Celtics recent games accepted
20 / 20
Warriors recent games accepted
19 / 20

Each team needs at least 19 of its last 20 games accepted, including its latest game. Displayed scores are rounded separately.

No current injury report covers this game. Injury adjustments are not applied; availability is unconfirmed.

Projected rotation · Starters unconfirmed · Opponent data through 2026-11-11

Sources and model use

Projection issued Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Injury report retrieved Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Availability: not-covered.

Allowance compares each opponent against guards, forwards or centers. More allowed can favour higher output, but the rate is not adjusted for the quality of players faced. It does not identify a likely defender or account for assignments, switches and help defense.

PTS, REB and AST retain the model’s existing positional opponent term. The 3PM allowance and team defensive figures are descriptive context. A projected 3PM average is not a probability of making 3 or more.

Box scores: balldontlie.io /v1/stats (player box scores; 0-minute DNP rows dropped). Regular season by balldontlie's own postseason flag, which excludes the playoffs but not the play-in tournament — a few play-in nights beyond the NBA.com game logs' cutoff may be included.. Retrieved Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET; through 2026-11-11. 0 of 3842 player rows have an unknown position and are excluded from positional allowances.

Ranks require at least 3 games and 240 opponent player-minutes per position. Rank 1 allows the most; ties share a rank. These are display thresholds, not a confidence rating.

Defensive figures require verified completed-game coverage and a source no older than 36 hours when saved. Historical context is never added after tip.

Boston Celtics

PlayerMINProjectedPTSPlayer history and matchup details
Jayson TatumF
GSW · forwards · Near league avg
32.524.1
Derrick WhiteG
GSW · guards · Near league avg
28.512.3
Paul GeorgeF
GSW · forwards · Near league avg
28.019.0
Payton PritchardG
GSW · guards · Near league avg
27.313.3
Neemias QuetaC
GSW · centers · Near league avg
22.59.0
Baylor ScheiermanG
GSW · guards · Near league avg
20.65.8
Sam HauserF
GSW · forwards · Near league avg
20.47.7
Mitchell RobinsonC
GSW · centers · Near league avg
16.14.9
Jordan WalshG
GSW · guards · Near league avg
15.24.2
Dillon MitchellF
GSW · forwards · Near league avg
4.11.5
Other players and defensive context

Outside the projected rotation

Rotation uses at least 15 observed minutes per game. Starters are unconfirmed.

GSW team defense

Paint points allowed / game
46.3
Fast-break points allowed / game
14.5

12 completed games through 2026-11-11. Retrieved Nov 12, 11:20 AM ET. Context only.

Individual defender assignments, shot defense and play-type matchups are not included in this Sheet.

Golden State Warriors

PlayerMINProjectedPTSPlayer history and matchup details
Brandin PodziemskiG
BOS · guards · 8.8% below league avg
32.616.1
Yaxel LendeborgF
BOS · forwards · 7.0% below league avg
31.619.3
Draymond GreenF
BOS · forwards · 7.0% below league avg
26.04.1
Stephen CurryG
BOS · guards · 8.8% below league avg
23.523.1
De'Anthony MeltonG
BOS · guards · 8.8% below league avg
21.79.9
Georges NiangF
BOS · forwards · 7.0% below league avg
19.98.0
Al HorfordC
BOS · centers · 10.4% below league avg
16.54.6
Gui SantosF
BOS · forwards · 7.0% below league avg
16.25.4
Will RichardG
BOS · guards · 8.8% below league avg
15.84.7
Brandon WilliamsG
BOS · guards · 8.8% below league avg
14.28.7
Other players and defensive context

Outside the projected rotation

Rotation uses at least 15 observed minutes per game. Starters are unconfirmed.

BOS team defense

Paint points allowed / game
35.2
Fast-break points allowed / game
13.8

12 completed games through 2026-11-11. Retrieved Nov 12, 11:20 AM ET. Context only.

Individual defender assignments, shot defense and play-type matchups are not included in this Sheet.

Sources and model use

Projection issued Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Injury report retrieved Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Availability: not-covered.

Allowance compares each opponent against guards, forwards or centers. More allowed can favour higher output, but the rate is not adjusted for the quality of players faced. It does not identify a likely defender or account for assignments, switches and help defense.

PTS, REB and AST retain the model’s existing positional opponent term. The 3PM allowance and team defensive figures are descriptive context. A projected 3PM average is not a probability of making 3 or more.

Box scores: balldontlie.io /v1/stats (player box scores; 0-minute DNP rows dropped). Regular season by balldontlie's own postseason flag, which excludes the playoffs but not the play-in tournament — a few play-in nights beyond the NBA.com game logs' cutoff may be included.. Retrieved Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET; through 2026-11-11. 0 of 3842 player rows have an unknown position and are excluded from positional allowances.

Ranks require at least 3 games and 240 opponent player-minutes per position. Rank 1 allows the most; ties share a rank. These are display thresholds, not a confidence rating.

Defensive figures require verified completed-game coverage and a source no older than 36 hours when saved. Historical context is never added after tip.