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Matchup Sheet

Nuggets at Bulls

2026-11-22

Game details

Nuggets at Bulls · 2026-11-22 · 7:00 PM ET

Nuggets by 1074% win chance
Estimated score Experimental
Nuggets
123.8
Bulls
114.1
Total points
238.0

Opening market total unavailable.

Derived · Updated Nov 12, 2026, 11:24 AM ET. Results through 2026-11-11.

Totals do not adjust for live injuries. Score ranges have not been calibrated.

How this score is estimated

The existing team model sets the margin and win chance. Opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace from play-by-play set the total. Each score is half the total, plus or minus half the margin.

Expected possessions per team
102.5
Nuggets recent games accepted
19 / 20
Bulls recent games accepted
20 / 20

Each team needs at least 19 of its last 20 games accepted, including its latest game. Displayed scores are rounded separately.

No current injury report covers this game. Injury adjustments are not applied; availability is unconfirmed.

Projected rotation · Starters unconfirmed · Opponent data through 2026-11-11

Sources and model use

Projection issued Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Injury report retrieved Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Availability: not-covered.

Allowance compares each opponent against guards, forwards or centers. More allowed can favour higher output, but the rate is not adjusted for the quality of players faced. It does not identify a likely defender or account for assignments, switches and help defense.

PTS, REB and AST retain the model’s existing positional opponent term. The 3PM allowance and team defensive figures are descriptive context. A projected 3PM average is not a probability of making 3 or more.

Box scores: balldontlie.io /v1/stats (player box scores; 0-minute DNP rows dropped). Regular season by balldontlie's own postseason flag, which excludes the playoffs but not the play-in tournament — a few play-in nights beyond the NBA.com game logs' cutoff may be included.. Retrieved Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET; through 2026-11-11. 0 of 3842 player rows have an unknown position and are excluded from positional allowances.

Ranks require at least 3 games and 240 opponent player-minutes per position. Rank 1 allows the most; ties share a rank. These are display thresholds, not a confidence rating.

Defensive figures require verified completed-game coverage and a source no older than 36 hours when saved. Historical context is never added after tip.

Denver Nuggets

PlayerMINProjectedPTSPlayer history and matchup details
Nikola JokićC
CHI · centers · 10.5% above league avg
35.725.0
Jamal MurrayG
CHI · guards · 11.9% above league avg
35.025.6
Christian BraunG
CHI · guards · 11.9% above league avg
32.812.4
Cameron JohnsonF
CHI · forwards · 13.3% above league avg
27.912.1
Aaron GordonF
CHI · forwards · 13.3% above league avg
27.812.5
DeMar DeRozanG
CHI · guards · 11.9% above league avg
21.610.6
Spencer JonesF
CHI · forwards · 13.3% above league avg
18.15.0
Trevon BrazileF
CHI · forwards · 13.3% above league avg
16.56.8
Cam WhitmoreF
CHI · forwards · 13.3% above league avg
7.13.9
Other players and defensive context

Outside the projected rotation

Rotation uses at least 15 observed minutes per game. Starters are unconfirmed.

CHI team defense

Paint points allowed / game
54.8
Fast-break points allowed / game
19.1

10 completed games through 2026-11-11. Retrieved Nov 12, 11:20 AM ET. Context only.

Individual defender assignments, shot defense and play-type matchups are not included in this Sheet.

Chicago Bulls

PlayerMINProjectedPTSPlayer history and matchup details
Norman PowellF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
27.319.0
Josh GiddeyG
DEN · guards · Near league avg
27.011.1
Caleb WilsonF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
27.015.6
Matas BuzelisF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
26.514.0
Patrick WilliamsF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
23.17.3
Jalen SmithF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
22.411.8
Isaac OkoroF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
19.15.6
Tre JonesG
DEN · guards · Near league avg
18.610.1
Nicolas ClaxtonF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
16.58.1
Leonard MillerF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
12.95.6
Dailyn SwainF
DEN · forwards · Near league avg
9.33.8
Other players and defensive context

Outside the projected rotation

Rotation uses at least 15 observed minutes per game. Starters are unconfirmed.

DEN team defense

Paint points allowed / game
48.6
Fast-break points allowed / game
14.1

10 completed games through 2026-11-11. Retrieved Nov 12, 11:20 AM ET. Context only.

Individual defender assignments, shot defense and play-type matchups are not included in this Sheet.

Sources and model use

Projection issued Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Injury report retrieved Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Availability: not-covered.

Allowance compares each opponent against guards, forwards or centers. More allowed can favour higher output, but the rate is not adjusted for the quality of players faced. It does not identify a likely defender or account for assignments, switches and help defense.

PTS, REB and AST retain the model’s existing positional opponent term. The 3PM allowance and team defensive figures are descriptive context. A projected 3PM average is not a probability of making 3 or more.

Box scores: balldontlie.io /v1/stats (player box scores; 0-minute DNP rows dropped). Regular season by balldontlie's own postseason flag, which excludes the playoffs but not the play-in tournament — a few play-in nights beyond the NBA.com game logs' cutoff may be included.. Retrieved Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET; through 2026-11-11. 0 of 3842 player rows have an unknown position and are excluded from positional allowances.

Ranks require at least 3 games and 240 opponent player-minutes per position. Rank 1 allows the most; ties share a rank. These are display thresholds, not a confidence rating.

Defensive figures require verified completed-game coverage and a source no older than 36 hours when saved. Historical context is never added after tip.