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Matchup Sheet

Pistons at Wizards

2026-11-12

Game details

Pistons at Wizards · 2026-11-12 · 7:00 PM ET

Pistons by 1279% win chance
Estimated score Experimental
Pistons
118.5
Wizards
106.2
Total points
224.7

Opening market 220.5 · Model +4.2 points

Derived · Updated Nov 12, 2026, 11:24 AM ET. Results through 2026-11-11.

Totals do not adjust for live injuries. Score ranges have not been calibrated.

BALLDONTLIE opening · betmgm · Opening quote Nov 11, 2026, 10:04 PM ET, retrieved Nov 12, 2026, 11:24 AM ET.

How this score is estimated

The existing team model sets the margin and win chance. Opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace from play-by-play set the total. Each score is half the total, plus or minus half the margin.

Expected possessions per team
100.5
Pistons recent games accepted
20 / 20
Wizards recent games accepted
19 / 20

Each team needs at least 19 of its last 20 games accepted, including its latest game. Displayed scores are rounded separately.

Injury adjustments use the current report; the projection assumes this player plays.

Projected rotation · Starters unconfirmed · Opponent data through 2026-11-11

Sources and model use

Projection issued Nov 12, 4:26 PM ET. Injury report retrieved Nov 12, 4:26 PM ET. Availability: fresh.

Allowance compares each opponent against guards, forwards or centers. More allowed can favour higher output, but the rate is not adjusted for the quality of players faced. It does not identify a likely defender or account for assignments, switches and help defense.

PTS, REB and AST retain the model’s existing positional opponent term. The 3PM allowance and team defensive figures are descriptive context. A projected 3PM average is not a probability of making 3 or more.

Box scores: balldontlie.io /v1/stats (player box scores; 0-minute DNP rows dropped). Regular season by balldontlie's own postseason flag, which excludes the playoffs but not the play-in tournament — a few play-in nights beyond the NBA.com game logs' cutoff may be included.. Retrieved Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET; through 2026-11-11. 0 of 3842 player rows have an unknown position and are excluded from positional allowances.

Ranks require at least 3 games and 240 opponent player-minutes per position. Rank 1 allows the most; ties share a rank. These are display thresholds, not a confidence rating.

Defensive figures require verified completed-game coverage and a source no older than 36 hours when saved. Historical context is never added after tip.

Detroit Pistons

PlayerMINProjected3PMPlayer history and matchup details
Cade CunninghamG
WAS · guards · 18.5% below league avg
34.02.0
Duncan RobinsonF
WAS · forwards · Near league avg
31.53.9
Ausar ThompsonG
WAS · guards · 18.5% below league avg
27.80.0
Daniss JenkinsG
WAS · guards · 18.5% below league avg
27.21.9
John CollinsF
WAS · forwards · Near league avg
27.21.1
Kevin HuerterG
WAS · guards · 18.5% below league avg
25.21.7
Paul ReedF
WAS · forwards · Near league avg
24.70.4
Javonte GreenG
WAS · guards · 18.5% below league avg
16.11.0
Ronald Holland IIF
WAS · forwards · Near league avg
14.50.6
Taurean PrinceF
WAS · forwards · Near league avg
7.40.7
Elijah HarklessG
WAS · guards · 18.5% below league avg
4.20.1
Other players and defensive context

Outside the projected rotation

Rotation uses at least 15 observed minutes per game. Starters are unconfirmed.

WAS team defense

Paint points allowed / game
51.3
Fast-break points allowed / game
15.9

12 completed games through 2026-11-11. Retrieved Nov 12, 11:20 AM ET. Context only.

Individual defender assignments, shot defense and play-type matchups are not included in this Sheet.

Washington Wizards

PlayerMINProjected3PMPlayer history and matchup details
KyShawn GeorgeF
DET · forwards · 5.1% below league avg
34.42.5
Trae YoungG
DET · guards · 11.4% below league avg
34.22.1
AJ DybantsaF
DET · forwards · 5.1% below league avg
33.01.2
Anthony DavisF
DET · forwards · 5.1% below league avg
33.00.8
Alexandre SarrC
DET · centers · 30.6% below league avg
25.40.7
Tre JohnsonG
DET · guards · 11.4% below league avg
24.71.6
Bilal CoulibalyG
DET · guards · 11.4% below league avg
24.20.6
Carlton CarringtonG
DET · guards · 11.4% below league avg
17.71.3
Other players and defensive context

Outside the projected rotation

Rotation uses at least 15 observed minutes per game. Starters are unconfirmed.

DET team defense

Paint points allowed / game
43.2
Fast-break points allowed / game
11.6

10 completed games through 2026-11-09. Retrieved Nov 12, 11:20 AM ET. Context only.

Individual defender assignments, shot defense and play-type matchups are not included in this Sheet.

Sources and model use

Projection issued Nov 12, 4:26 PM ET. Injury report retrieved Nov 12, 4:26 PM ET. Availability: fresh.

Allowance compares each opponent against guards, forwards or centers. More allowed can favour higher output, but the rate is not adjusted for the quality of players faced. It does not identify a likely defender or account for assignments, switches and help defense.

PTS, REB and AST retain the model’s existing positional opponent term. The 3PM allowance and team defensive figures are descriptive context. A projected 3PM average is not a probability of making 3 or more.

Box scores: balldontlie.io /v1/stats (player box scores; 0-minute DNP rows dropped). Regular season by balldontlie's own postseason flag, which excludes the playoffs but not the play-in tournament — a few play-in nights beyond the NBA.com game logs' cutoff may be included.. Retrieved Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET; through 2026-11-11. 0 of 3842 player rows have an unknown position and are excluded from positional allowances.

Ranks require at least 3 games and 240 opponent player-minutes per position. Rank 1 allows the most; ties share a rank. These are display thresholds, not a confidence rating.

Defensive figures require verified completed-game coverage and a source no older than 36 hours when saved. Historical context is never added after tip.